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GM

Global Medical REIT Inc. (GMRE)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q1 2025 delivered stable operating performance with total revenue $34.6M and GAAP EPS $0.03; AFFO per unit was $0.22, flat sequentially and down $0.01 YoY as higher borrowings and tenant issues offset lower G&A .
  • The quarter missed Wall Street consensus on both Primary EPS and revenue; S&P Global indicates Primary EPS was ~$0.052 vs ~$0.063 estimate and revenue ~$34.58M vs ~$35.49M; company GAAP EPS was $0.03, reflecting definitional differences across measures* .
  • Acquisition execution remained a bright spot: GMRE closed the previously announced $69.6M five‑property portfolio at a 9.0% cap, adding strategic, procedure‑based tenants near hospital campuses; portfolio occupancy ended at 95.6% .
  • Guidance was reaffirmed: FY 2025 AFFO per share/unit $0.89–$0.93; capex outlook ~$12–$14M; leverage stood at 46.1% with $187M of borrowing capacity and a facility extension under discussion in 2H 2025 .
  • Near‑term catalysts include Beaumont (CHRISTUS) rent commencement in Q2, progress re‑leasing East Orange post Prospect’s lease rejection, financing updates, and a dividend reset to $0.15/share in Q2 that may broaden investor appeal for income‑stability vs payout risk .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Accretive acquisition at scale: Completed the $69.6M five‑property medical portfolio at a 9.0% cap; buildings ~92% leased at close and largely on‑campus with procedure‑based specialties, supporting retention and returns .
  • Cost discipline: G&A fell to $3.6M YoY from $4.4M, aided by lower non‑cash LTIP expense, and management guided cash G&A run‑rate to $3.4–$3.6M per quarter for the remainder of 2025 .
  • Strategic recycling: Two dispositions for $8.2M generated $1.4M aggregate gain (occupied asset at ~6.7% cap), demonstrating ability to fund growth while improving portfolio quality .

Management quotes:

  • “We utilized our deep relationships…to win the bidding for this portfolio at an attractive cap rate of 9.0%” — Jeffrey M. Busch, CEO .
  • “We are working to lease up the acquired vacancy…which will provide additional returns above the 9% in‑place cap rate” — Alfonzo Leon, CIO .

What Went Wrong

  • Consensus miss: S&P Global shows Q1 Primary EPS and revenue came in below street expectations; GAAP EPS was $0.03, reflecting pressure from higher borrowings and tenant‑related impacts* .
  • Tenant‑credit overhang: Prospect bankruptcy led to East Orange lease rejection; GMRE received $250k post‑petition through Feb, but re‑leasing will take time and Prospect’s remaining leases were undecided as of May 6 .
  • Occupancy volatility ahead: CFO flagged potential dip to 94–95% in Q2–Q3 from acquired vacancy and a 50k sq ft non‑renewal, before recovering toward ~96% by year‑end .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Total Revenue ($USD Millions)$34.264 $35.157 $34.618
Rental Revenue ($USD Millions)$34.175 $34.953 $34.595
Net Income ($USD Millions)$3.391 $2.939 $3.737
GAAP EPS (Basic & Diluted, $)$0.03 $0.02 $0.03
FFO / Unit ($)$0.19 $0.15 $0.20
AFFO / Unit ($)$0.22 $0.22 $0.22
Interest Expense ($USD Millions)$7.236 $7.571 $7.167
G&A Expense ($USD Millions)$4.381 $7.707 $3.620

Consensus vs actual (S&P Global):

MetricQ1 2025 ConsensusQ1 2025 Actual
Primary EPS ($)0.0625*0.0515*
Revenue ($USD Millions)35.485*34.578*

Values retrieved from S&P Global. Company reported GAAP EPS was $0.03 .*

Portfolio KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q4 2024Q1 2025
Occupancy (%)96.1% 96.4% 95.6%
Weighted Avg Lease Term (years)5.6 5.6 5.6
Portfolio Rent Coverage (x)4.6x 4.5x 4.4x
Annualized Base Rent ($USD Millions)$107.8 $110.0 $113.4
Weighted Avg Rent Escalations (%)2.2% 2.2% 2.2%

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
AFFO per Share & Unit ($)FY 2025$0.89–$0.93 $0.89–$0.93 Maintained
Portfolio Capex ($USD Millions)FY 2025~$12–$14 ~$12–$14 Maintained
Cash G&A Run‑Rate ($USD Millions, quarterly)FY 2025$4.5–$4.7 (total G&A, excl. transition) $3.4–$3.6 (cash G&A, excl. transition) Lowered
Common Dividend (per share)Q2 2025$0.21 (Q1) $0.15 (Q2) Lowered
Leverage Target (%)Ongoing40–45% 40–45% (temporarily ~47% post acquisitions) Maintained (temporary elevation)

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q3 2024)Previous Mentions (Q4 2024)Current Period (Q1 2025)Trend
Acquisition market & cap ratesClosed 15‑asset portfolio at ~8% cap; under contract for 9% cap deal JV formed; ongoing deal flow; low‑7s JV seed sale cap Completed 9% cap five‑asset portfolio; ~92% leased at close; on‑campus exposure Improving pipeline at higher yields
Tenant bankruptcies & re‑leasingSteward rejected Beaumont; CHRISTUS lease to start Mar/Apr ’25 Prospect filed Chapter 11; ABR ~0.8% exposure; East Orange cash‑basis East Orange re‑leasing underway; rents mid‑$30s gross; path to rebuild NOI by year‑end Transition progress, still a 2025 workstream
Leverage & financingLeverage 44.1%; fund via asset sales, ATM Leverage 44.8%; facility extension targeted 3Q/4Q Leverage 46.1%; borrowing capacity $187M; extension under discussion Temporarily elevated leverage; proactive refinancing
Dividend frameworkIntention to maintain; payout scrutinized vs capex Ongoing strategic review; succession planning Q2 2025 dividend reset to $0.15 ; Board evaluating options Shift toward sustainable payout
Heitman JV strategyNot presentJV seeded; growth targeted; accretive fee income Pipeline to place deals; no ROFR; JV for core‑plus while REIT pursues 9% cap deals Platform optionality expanding

Management Commentary

  • “These properties are a great strategic fit…procedural‑based…close proximity…promotes tenant retention…almost 70%…triple‑net leases…at an attractive cap rate of 9.0%” — Jeffrey M. Busch .
  • “G&A…$3.6M…decrease primarily resulted from…non‑cash LTIP…we expect cash G&A run rate…$3.4–$3.6M per quarter” — Robert Kiernan .
  • “We acquired…at approximately $143 per square foot…substantially below replacement cost…most facilities are on‑campus…working to lease up acquired vacancy” — Alfonzo Leon .

Q&A Highlights

  • East Orange (Prospect) re‑leasing: Convert subtenants to direct tenants; broker engaged; hospital next door under new operator interested; net rent target mid‑teens vs gross mid‑$30s; NOI rebuild by year‑end 2025 .
  • Guidance exposure to Prospect: Impact included but limited vs overall NOI; Vernon leases not rejected as of the call .
  • Financing: Active lender discussions to extend facility/term loan; execution targeted 3Q/early 4Q; keep line balances broadly consistent .
  • G&A outlook: Q2 LTIP non‑cash to be ~$1.8M; GAAP G&A elevated in Q2 to $5.1–$5.3M, then normalizing to $4.5–$4.7M range .
  • Beaumont (CHRISTUS) rent: ~$$2.9M ABR; commencement expected April/May; slight uplift vs prior Steward rent .

Estimates Context

  • Q1 2025 consensus vs actual (S&P Global): Primary EPS ~$0.063 vs ~$0.052 actual (miss), revenue ~$35.49M vs ~$34.58M actual (miss); company reported GAAP EPS $0.03, reflecting definitional differences* .
  • Implications: Short‑term estimate revisions may trend lower given occupancy headwinds (Q2/Q3 94–95%) and Prospect timing, partially offset by CHRISTUS ABR ramp and acquisition contributions .
  • Expense trajectory supports margins: Cash G&A run‑rate reduced to $3.4–$3.6M/quarter and LTIP normalization post Q2 should stabilize per‑share AFFO .

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Acquisition execution and below‑replacement‑cost pricing underpin NAV support; continued focus on on‑campus, procedure‑based tenants should sustain retention and cash yields .
  • Near‑term occupancy volatility (acquired vacancy, 50k sq ft non‑renewal) likely tempers Q2/Q3 optics; management expects recovery toward ~96% by year‑end, supporting AFFO cadence .
  • Dividend reset to $0.15 aligns payout with capital needs and occupancy path; reduces risk of future cuts and may broaden income‑focused ownership base .
  • Beaumont (CHRISTUS) ABR $2.9M and East Orange re‑leasing progress are tangible 2H 2025 catalysts for NOI stabilization and sentiment improvement .
  • Financing update (facility/term loan extension) in 2H 2025 should lower refinancing uncertainty at 46.1% leverage; $187M borrowing capacity provides flexibility .
  • Cash G&A run‑rate reduction to $3.4–$3.6M/quarter supports per‑share economics amid higher average borrowings; watch Q2 LTIP‑driven GAAP G&A spike, then normalization .
  • Heitman JV offers dual‑track capital solutions: JV for core‑plus, REIT for higher‑yield 9% cap deals; no ROFR preserves REIT optionality .